Showing posts with label Stock Market. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Stock Market. Show all posts

Monday, March 31, 2014

YEOMAN: "We get richer by the day, no matter where the market goes"

YEOMAN: "We get richer by the day, no matter where the market goes":

Written by Leong Chan Teik

Saturday, 30 November 2013 12:02




WARREN BUFFETT eschews diversification, seeking to buy lots of a stock only when prices are very attractive.What works for him could work for many lesser investors too. Similarly, a very diversified portfolio could make good sense, especially if one seeks lower volatility in one's portfolio.

Different strokes for different folks, as one might say.

The Yeoman 3-Rights Value Asia Fund has done well for its investors and an excellent article by Genevieve Cua in Business Times(Nov 27, right) highlighted that.

And the fund is big on diversification -- not unlike Aggregate Asset Management which we highlighted recently in AGGREGATE ASSET MGT: 'Why we invest in more than 100 stocks'

The Yeoman fund invests in around 70 stocks and has S$117 million of assets under management as at end-Oct 2013. 

Here's more:

Performance:
 In the current year to end-October, the Yeoman fund has gained 19.34 per cent, compared with the MSCI Far East ex Japan index return of 3.45 per cent.

Since its inception in October 1997, the fund has achieved cumulative returns of more than 638 per cent, compared with the index return of 110 per cent.

This translates to a compounded annual return of 13.3 per cent.

Every $100,000 invested at inception have transformed into more than $738,000!
Methodology: On Yeoman's website, the explanation is: "We call our investment process the "3-Rights" (Right Business, Right Price and Right Management).  Subject to the 3-Rights criteria being met, we are usually fully invested holding little or no cash. For us, performance attribution is from securities selection and portfolio construction, not market timing."

BT quoted Yeo Seng Chong, Yeoman's founder and chief executive, saying undervaluation is the "prime and only motivation for investing''. 
"If we can't get undervaluation, we don't participate. The undervaluation is measured in terms of PE (price earnings multiple), dividend yield, free cash flow and discount to balance sheet book value. We also look at return on equity to make sure our stocks have capital efficiency."

From Yeoman's website: "If we have the comfort of time on our side and the stocks that we own are backed by real businesses generating adequate earnings relative to our price at entry and the cost of the company's capital employed, then we are getting richer by the day, no matter where the market goes.

"If we get the '3-Rights' right, time is our friend. In the short term, price and value may not converge but over the longer term they surely must.''

It adds: "We do not sell just because other people are selling (or buy just because others are doing so)."

Diversification is key:
 The maximum exposure to a single stock is about 1.4 per cent. And it has tremendous defensiveness.

As Mr Yeo told BT: "If something doesn't work out in one stock and we suffer permanent and total impairment, we would have lost 1.4 per cent. But if the remaining stocks work out, and typically we pay 50 cents on the dollar - that is, we assess that the stock is worth $1 and we pay 50 cents - ... the loss would be more than covered.
"A lot of people spend time picking that one winner that makes a killing. We think that's best left to the person with a strong imagination. As stewards of other people's money, we can't take liberties. As we work on probabilities, this method of investing is very good. The reward is maximised through the '50 cents on the dollar' approach. Value will be realised at some point. Should something come up to hurt us, the loss is well contained.''

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=err1lNGSQ94

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=err1lNGSQ94

Written by Leong Chan Teik

Saturday, 30 November 2013 12:02

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Sunday, March 30, 2014

Shut up already! It’s not 1929 - Chuck Jaffe - MarketWatch

Shut up already! It’s not 1929 - Chuck Jaffe - MarketWatch: "As Benjamin Graham, the father of value investing, noted, the stock market in the short run is like a voting machine, registering which companies are popular or not popular; over the long haul, however, it’s a weighing machine, taking the full measure and assessment of the company in the form of its stock price.

“Long-term investors should think about the economy and the prospects of U.S. and foreign companies they invest in. They should not focus on the market,” said behavioral finance expert Terrance Odean, a professor at the Haas School of Business at the University of California-Berkeley. “In the long run, what matters if whether the economy prospers and firms earn profits."



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Saturday, March 29, 2014

The Investment Of The Decade - yong888@gmail.com - Gmail

The Investment Of The Decade - yong888@gmail.com - Gmail: "When I invest, I am looking for stocks that will pay me for owning them. But I want more. I also want to make sure that they are undervalued, which should provide me with my margin of safety.

As far as I am concerned, investing is never about luck. It can be for some people, though, if their suite of investing tools comprise a dartboard, a copy of the Business Times and three steel-tipped tungsten darts.
 
Investing is about using techniques to identify stocks that are valued below what they are really worth.

Legendary investor Warren Buffett has developed a technique that works for him. So too has Peter Lynch. In fact, Lynch once said that if seven out of ten of his stock picks perform then he would be delighted. More of us should try to think like that when we invest."



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Tuesday, March 25, 2014

Stocks have become ‘absurd’: Bill Fleckenstein

Stocks have become ‘absurd’: Bill Fleckenstein: "Bill Fleckenstein says that stock valuations have risen to absurd levels on the back of low interest rates. But though he remains staunchly bearish on equities, he still believes that it's not yet time to get short.

Valuations on certain tech stocks are "ridiculous—it's just plain ridiculous," Fleckenstein said on Tuesday's episode of "Futures Now." "But that doesn't really matter. Overvaluation, no matter how gargantuan, does not make stocks go down.""



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Thursday, March 13, 2014

5 habits of the very best investors - MarketWatch

5 habits of the very best investors - MarketWatch:

1: Setting goals

2: Create a plan — and stick to it

3: Save regularly

4: Live on less

5: Stay in the game

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Friday, March 7, 2014

Dr. Ed's Blog: Valuation Multiples At Bull-Market Highs (excerpt)

Dr. Ed's Blog: Valuation Multiples At Bull-Market Highs (excerpt): "There are more hints of a melt-up in stock prices. That could be a more serious threat than any geopolitical blowup to my prediction that the secular bull market could run for another two years or longer. The forward valuation multiples of the S&P 500/400/600 are now at bull-market highs and slightly exceed the 2007 highs of the previous bull market. On Tuesday, the forward P/Es of the three S&P composites rose to 15.4, 17.7, and 19.1. "



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7 signs we’re near a market top, and what to do now - Michael Sincere's Long-Term Trader - MarketWatch

7 signs we’re near a market top, and what to do now - Michael Sincere's Long-Term Trader - MarketWatch:

1. Retail investors have been pouring money into stock mutual funds. The fear of missing out on the sixth year of a bull market has created something close to a buying panic. Although not as maniacal as we saw in 1999, the stock cheerleaders are back and rooting for their stocks and mutual funds to go higher — just like they always do before a crash or bear market.



2. The Investor’s Intelligence survey is concerning. The closely watched II survey shows a low proportion of bears (less than 20%), which some have pointed out is the lowest proportion since just before the 1987 crash.



3. Sentiment indicators are pessimistic. The VIX, the put-call ratio and other major sentiment indicators suggest that investors and traders are getting complacent. Apparently, market participants believe that the Fed, or their fund manager, will protect them in a worst-case scenario.



4. Fundamentals are being ignored. Obscenely high P/E ratios are passed over, along with soft economic readings (i.e. GDP and ISM). When the fundamentals are weaker than expected, the weather is blamed.



5. The stock market crash of 2008 has been forgotten. Investors forget, but the market never does. Those who do not heed the lessons of the past will once again learn a painful lesson.



6. The Nasdaq is soaring. The three-year chart of the Nasdaq COMP -0.13%    has gone nearly parabolic, hitting a 14-year high of 4,351 on March 4. It’s the Go-Go years all over again. (And that late 1960s bull market ended with the 1973-74 bear market.)



7. Fear and greed are taking over. When the market reaches the tipping point (and we’re getting closer), investors and traders buy “ATM” (anything that moves). The fear of missing out causes a buying panic.

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Tuesday, June 29, 2010